USA MLS statistics: goals and results
USA MLS is one of the high-scoring leagues: over 2.5 goals at 71 %, clearly above the average of 56 %. Home wins (44 %) are clearly more frequent than away wins (29 %): a strong home advantage. Both teams scored in 67 % (average 56 %).
How often each market occurred in the last 10 matches of USA MLS teams, compared with the average and the ranking across 88 leagues.
| Market | This league | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full Time 1 (Home Win) | 44 % | 44 % | 40 / 88 |
| Full Time Draw (X) | 28 % | 25 % | 18 / 88 |
| Full Time 2 (Away Win) | 29 % | 31 % | 56 / 88 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 71 % | 56 % | 4 / 88 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 29 % | 44 % | 85 / 88 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67 % | 56 % | 4 / 88 |
| First Half Over 0.5 Goals | 81 % | 73 % | 6 / 88 |
Values are calculated from the last 10 matches of the league's teams (30 teams) and are updated regularly.
How did USA MLS predictions do in the last 30 days?
Over the last 30 days, the top prediction of every USA MLS match was tracked. Settled picks: 88, won: 64 (73 %).
Hit rate by market
| Market | Picks | Won | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61 | 44 | 72 % |
| Both Teams to Score | 19 | 14 | 74 % |
| Full Time 1 (Home Win) | 5 | 3 | 60 % |
| Full Time 2 (Away Win) | 3 | 3 | 100 % |
Hit rate by percentage range
| Percentage range | Picks | Won | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–59 % | 13 | 9 | 69 % |
| 60–69 % | 50 | 35 | 70 % |
| 70–100 % | 25 | 20 | 80 % |
The closer a range's hit rate is to the range itself, the more consistent the percentages on this page are.
Latest finished matches:
- 2 November – Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo (3-1): Over 2.5 Goals 57 % Won
- 2 November – Los Angeles - Minnesota Stars (1-3): Over 2.5 Goals 66 % Won
- 2 November – New England - Inter Miami (1-2): Over 2.5 Goals 72 % Won
- 2 November – Atlanta United - Toronto (3-1): Over 2.5 Goals 66 % Won
- 2 November – Nashville SC - New York RB (3-2): Over 2.5 Goals 72 % Won
- 1 November – Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders (5-1): Over 2.5 Goals 61 % Won
- 1 November – Colorado Rapids - Chicago Fire (2-4): Both Teams to Score 62 % Won
- 31 October – St. Louis - San Diego (0-1): Over 2.5 Goals 73 % Lost
- 31 October – Sporting KC - FC Dallas (1-1): Over 2.5 Goals 64 % Lost
- 31 October – New York City - Montreal Impact (1-1): Full Time 1 (Home Win) 68 % Lost
How are the predictions made?
The percentage shown for each match is the hit rate of that pick: it is based on how often this result has occurred in both teams' past matches and on the match odds. The percentages of the options in one market may not add up to 100.
The top prediction is the pick with the highest percentage among match result (1, X, 2), both teams to score and over/under 2.5 goals. Double chance picks are left out of this comparison, as their percentages are naturally high.
The percentages are a statistical indicator, not a guarantee of any result. Odds and percentages may be updated until kick-off.