What does Under 4.5 Goals mean?
Under 4.5 Goals means the total number of goals in regular time is no more than 4. It does not matter which team scores.
For example, Under 4.5 Goals wins with final scores of 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1, but loses with 5-0 and 4-1.
The result is settled on regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time); extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count.
Picks related to Under 4.5 Goals
If Under 4.5 Goals comes in, these picks win too: Under 5.5 Goals.
These picks cannot win together with Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals and Total Goals 6+.
Best Under 4.5 Goals predictions today
On 4 November 2026, the list covers 13 matches from 5 leagues. Average hit rate: 74 %; highest: 84 %. Matches with a hit rate of 50 % or higher: 13.
- Anderlecht II - Lierse Kempenzonen (Proximus League, ): 84 %, odds 1.08
- Lens - Como (Champions League, ): 84 %, odds 1.08
- Al Wahda FC - Khalidiya (AFC Cup, ): 83 %, odds 1.06
- Al Rayyan - Al Nahda (AFC Cup, ): 82 %, odds 1.07
- Wrexham - Middlesbrough (EFL Championship, ): 82 %, odds 1.07
Under 4.5 Goals predictions today in the top leagues and European cups
- BVB Borussia Dortmund - Real Betis (Champions League, ): 81 %, odds 1.12
- AEK - Real Madrid (Champions League, ): 71 %, odds 1.28
- Viking - Sabah FC (Champions League, ): 71 %, odds 1.28
- PSV - Club Brugge (Champions League, ): 69 %, odds 1.24
- Fenerbahçe - Liverpool FC (Champions League, ): 66 %, odds 1.26
How accurate were Under 4.5 Goals predictions in the last 30 days?
Over the last 30 days we tracked the top 10 Under 4.5 Goals predictions of each day by hit rate. Settled picks: 291; won: 221 (76 %).
| Hit-rate band | Picks | Won | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60–79 % | 21 | 17 | 81 % |
| 80–89 % | 270 | 204 | 76 % |
The closer a band's actual rate is to the band itself, the more consistent the percentages on this page are.
Results of the 3 November 2026 matches (won: 9 / 9):
- Lyngby - Randers FC (Landspokal Cup): 84 % · 1-0 · Won
- Newport County - Crystal Palace U21 (EFL Trophy): 84 % · 1-2 · Won
- Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United (National League North): 84 % · Awaiting result
- LASK U19 - S.Bratislava U19 (UEFA Youth League): 83 % · 2-1 · Won
- Red Bull Bragantino - Santos FC (Serie A): 82 % · 2-1 · Won
- Omiya Ardija - Iwaki (J2 League): 82 % · 2-1 · Won
- Kashiwa Reysol - Daejeon Citizen (AFC Champions League): 82 % · 2-0 · Won
- Shakhtar U19 - Sporting CP U19 (UEFA Youth League): 82 % · 1-3 · Won
- Feyenoord U19 - Inter U19 (UEFA Youth League): 82 % · 3-1 · Won
- Al Hilal - Al-Ahli Dubai (AFC Champions League): 82 % · 2-0 · Won
In which leagues is Under 4.5 Goals most common?
Leagues with the highest Under 4.5 Goals hit rate in these fixtures (at least three matches): Europa League (81 %), AFC Cup (81 %) and Serie A (78 %).
Based on each team's last 10 matches, Under 4.5 Goals has been most common in: Brazil Serie B (95 %), Portugal LigaPro (94 %) and Ukraine Premier League (93 %). It has been least common in: Germany Bundesliga (65 %) and Switzerland Super League (65 %).
How are the percentages calculated?
Each percentage on this page is the hit rate of Under 4.5 Goals for that match: it is based on how often this result has occurred in both teams' past matches and on the match odds. Percentages are calculated separately for each pick, so the options in one market do not have to add up to 100.
A match is marked as "value odds" when its hit rate is at least 3 points higher than the percentage implied by the odds (100 / odds).
The percentages are a statistical indicator, not a guarantee of any result. The list is updated during the day as fixtures and odds change.