What does Under 3.5 Goals mean?
Under 3.5 Goals means the total number of goals in regular time is no more than 3. It does not matter which team scores.
For example, Under 3.5 Goals wins with final scores of 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1, but loses with 4-0 and 3-1.
The result is settled on regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time); extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count.
Picks related to Under 3.5 Goals
If Under 3.5 Goals comes in, these picks win too: Under 4.5 Goals.
These picks cannot win together with Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals and Total Goals 6+.
Best Under 3.5 Goals predictions today
The 26 October 2026 fixtures include 37 matches. Hit rates average 62 %, with a top value of 80 %. Matches with a hit rate of 50 % or higher: 33.
- Sevilla - Osasuna (La Liga, ): 80 %, odds 1.10
- Boulogne - Reims (Ligue 2, ): 77 %, odds 1.11
- Torreense - Amarante (LigaPro, ): 77 %, odds 1.09
- FC Andorra - Burgos (LaLiga2, ): 76 %, odds 1.14
- Sepsi - Universitatea Craiova (Liga 1, ): 74 %, odds 1.16
Under 3.5 Goals predictions today in the top leagues and European cups
- Santa Clara - Benfica (Primeira Liga, ): 71 %, odds 1.21
- Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor (Super Lig, ): 63 %, odds 1.40
- Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe (Super Lig, ): 57 %, odds 1.48
- Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir (Super Lig, ): 54 %, odds 1.60
- PSG - Lyon (Ligue 1, ): 50 %, odds 1.62
How accurate were Under 3.5 Goals predictions in the last 30 days?
Over the last 30 days we tracked the top 10 Under 3.5 Goals predictions of each day by hit rate. Settled picks: 296; won: 224 (76 %).
| Hit-rate band | Picks | Won | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60–79 % | 130 | 89 | 68 % |
| 80–89 % | 166 | 135 | 81 % |
The closer a band's actual rate is to the band itself, the more consistent the percentages on this page are.
Results of the 25 October 2026 matches (won: 8 / 10):
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion (USL Championship): 81 % · 2-1 · Won
- FC Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Dnepr Mogilev (Vysshaya Liga): 81 % · 0-0 · Won
- Neman Grodno - Dinamo Brest (Vysshaya Liga): 81 % · 1-4 · Lost
- Pizzighettone - Lumezzane (Serie C): 81 % · 2-1 · Won
- Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island (USL Championship): 80 % · 2-1 · Won
- Colorado Springs - Tulsa Roughnecks (USL Championship): 80 % · 2-0 · Won
- Montedio Yamagata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League): 80 % · 0-2 · Won
- Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu (J2 League): 80 % · 1-1 · Won
- AD Alcorcon - Ibiza (Segunda Division B - Group 1): 80 % · 3-3 · Lost
- AVS - Tondela (LigaPro): 80 % · 2-1 · Won
In which leagues is Under 3.5 Goals most common?
Leagues with the highest Under 3.5 Goals hit rate in these fixtures (at least three matches): Liga 1 (63 %), Super Lig (58 %) and Premier League 2 (Division 1) (52 %).
Based on each team's last 10 matches, Under 3.5 Goals has been most common in: Nigeria NPFL (81 %), South Africa PSL (81 %) and Ukraine Premier League (81 %). It has been least common in: Netherlands Eredivisie (38 %) and Germany Bundesliga (42 %).
How are the percentages calculated?
Each percentage on this page is the hit rate of Under 3.5 Goals for that match: it is based on how often this result has occurred in both teams' past matches and on the match odds. Percentages are calculated separately for each pick, so the options in one market do not have to add up to 100.
A match is marked as "value odds" when its hit rate is at least 3 points higher than the percentage implied by the odds (100 / odds).
The percentages are a statistical indicator, not a guarantee of any result. The list is updated during the day as fixtures and odds change.